Alcohol tax cuts and increase in alcohol-positive sudden deaths: a time-series intervention analysis.
In: Addiction, Jg. 102 (2007-03-01), Heft 3, S. 362-368
Online
academicJournal
Zugriff:
AIMS: The impact of alcohol regulation changes in Finland during 2004 on alcohol-positive sudden deaths was analysed, focusing on: (1) removal of traveller's allowance quotas on alcohol imports from other European Union (EU) countries, (2) lowering of Finnish alcohol excise duty rates and (3) Estonia joining the EU. DESIGN: The impact of these changes was estimated using an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) analytical technique. Post-mortem forensic toxicology data were analysed over a 15-year period to account for seasonal and long-term variation. In all, the data comprised a weekly series of 33,782 alcohol-positive cases (at least 0.20 mg/g alcohol in blood) and a control series of 37,617 alcohol-negative cases. SETTING: Finland in 1990-2004. FINDINGS: The liberation of traveller's allowances had no material impact on alcohol-positive sudden deaths, but the impact of alcohol tax cuts in March 2004 was significant, resulting in an estimated eight additional alcohol-positive deaths per week, which is a 17% increase compared with the weekly average of 2003. The impact associated with Estonia joining the EU was not statistically significant. In the models applied to the control series of alcohol-negative deaths, none of the impact coefficients was statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: Alcohol tax cuts were associated with an increase in the number of sudden deaths involving alcohol. This parallels the reported increases in alcohol consumption and alcohol-related causes of death in 2004 in Finland. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Titel: |
Alcohol tax cuts and increase in alcohol-positive sudden deaths: a time-series intervention analysis.
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Autor/in / Beteiligte Person: | Koski, A ; Sirén, R ; Vuori, E ; Poikolainen, K |
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Zeitschrift: | Addiction, Jg. 102 (2007-03-01), Heft 3, S. 362-368 |
Veröffentlichung: | 2007 |
Medientyp: | academicJournal |
ISSN: | 0965-2140 (print) |
DOI: | 10.1111/j.1360-0443.2006.01715.x |
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