Monitoring sudden stratospheric warmings under climate change since 1980 based on reanalysis data verified by radio occultation
In: eISSN: 1680-7324, 2023
academicJournal
Zugriff:
We developed a new approach to monitor sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) events under climate change since 1980 based on reanalysis data verified by radio occultation data. We constructed gridded daily mean temperature anomalies from the input fields at different vertical resolutions (basic-case full resolution, cross-check with reanalysis at 10 stratospheric standard pressure levels or 10 and 50 hPa levels only) and employed the concept of threshold exceedance areas (TEAs), the geographic areas wherein the anomalies exceed predefined thresholds (such as 30 K), to monitor the phenomena. We derived main-phase TEAs, representing combined middle- and lower-stratospheric warming, to monitor SSWs on a daily basis. Based on the main-phase TEAs, three key metrics, including main-phase duration, area, and strength, are estimated and used for the detection and classification of SSW events. An SSW is defined to be detected if the main-phase warming lasts at least 6 d. According to the strength, SSW events are classified into minor, major, and extreme. An informative 42 winters' SSW climatology (1980–2021) was developed, including the three key metrics as well as onset date, maximum-warming-anomaly location, and other valuable SSW characterization information. The results and validation against previous studies underpin that the new method is robust for SSW detection and monitoring and that it can be applied to any quality-assured reanalysis, observational and model temperature data that cover the polar region and winter timeframes of interest, either using high-vertical-resolution input data (preferable basic case), coarser standard-pressure-levels resolution, or (at least) 10 and 50 hPa pressure level data. Within the 42 winters, 43 SSW events were detected for the basic case, yielding a frequency of about 1 event per year. In the 1990s, where recent studies showed gaps, we detected several events. Over 95 % of event onset dates occurred in deep winter (December–January–February timeframe, about 50 % in January), and .
Titel: |
Monitoring sudden stratospheric warmings under climate change since 1980 based on reanalysis data verified by radio occultation
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Autor/in / Beteiligte Person: | Li, Ying ; Kirchengast, Gottfried ; Schwaerz, Marc ; Yuan, Yunbin |
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Zeitschrift: | eISSN: 1680-7324, 2023 |
Veröffentlichung: | Copernicus Publications, 2023 |
Medientyp: | academicJournal |
ISSN: | 1680-7324 |
DOI: | 10.5194/acp-23-1259-2023 |
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