Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 84 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks for 195 countries and territories, 1990-2017: A systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017
In: The Lancet, 392 (10159), 1923 - 1994 (2018-11-10, 2018
Online
academicJournal
Zugriff:
peer reviewed ; Background The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2017 comparative risk assessment (CRA) is a comprehensive approach to risk factor quantification that offers a useful tool for synthesising evidence on risks and risk-outcome associations. With each annual GBD study, we update the GBD CRA to incorporate improved methods, new risks and risk-outcome pairs, and new data on risk exposure levels and risk- outcome associations. Methods We used the CRA framework developed for previous iterations of GBD to estimate levels and trends in exposure, attributable deaths, and attributable disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), by age group, sex, year, and location for 84 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or groups of risks from 1990 to 2017. This study included 476 risk-outcome pairs that met the GBD study criteria for convincing or probable evidence of causation. We extracted relative risk and exposure estimates from 46 749 randomised controlled trials, cohort studies, household surveys, census data, satellite data, and other sources. We used statistical models to pool data, adjust for bias, and incorporate covariates. Using the counterfactual scenario of theoretical minimum risk exposure level (TMREL), we estimated the portion of deaths and DALYs that could be attributed to a given risk. We explored the relationship between development and risk exposure by modelling the relationship between the Socio-demographic Index (SDI) and risk-weighted exposure prevalence and estimated expected levels of exposure and risk-attributable burden by SDI. Finally, we explored temporal changes in risk-attributable DALYs by decomposing those changes into six main component drivers of change as follows: (1) population growth; (2) changes in population age structures; (3) changes in exposure to environmental and occupational risks; (4) changes in exposure to behavioural risks; (5) changes in exposure to metabolic risks; and (6) changes due to all other factors, ...
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Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 84 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks for 195 countries and territories, 1990-2017: A systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017
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| Autor/in / Beteiligte Person: | Stanaway, Jeffrey D. ; Afshin, Ashkan ; Gakidou, Emmanuela ; Lim, Stephen S. ; Abate, Degu ; Abate, Kalkidan Hassen ; Abbafati, Cristiana ; Abbasi, Nooshin ; Abbastabar, Hedayat ; Abd-Allah, Foad ; Abdela, Jemal ; Abdelalim, Ahmed ; Abdollahpour, Ibrahim ; Abdulkader, Rizwan Suliankatchi ; Abebe, Molla ; Abebe, Zegeye ; Abera, Semaw F. ; Abil, Olifan Zewdie ; Abraha, Haftom Niguse ; Abrham, Aklilu Roba ; Abu-Raddad, Laith Jamal ; Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M.E. ; Accrombessi, Manfred Mario Kokou ; Acharya, Dilaram ; Acharya, Pawan ; Adamu, Abdu A ; Adane, Akilew Awoke ; Adebayo, Oladimeji M. ; Adedoyin, Rufus Adesoji ; Adekanmbi, Victor ; Ademi, Zanfina ; Adetokunboh, Olatunji O. ; Adib, Mina G. ; Admasie, Amha ; Adsuar, Jose C. ; Afanvi, Kossivi Agbelenko ; Afarideh, Mohsen ; Agarwal, Gina ; Aggarwal, Anju ; Aghayan, Sargis Aghasi ; Agrawal, Anurag ; Agrawal, Sutapa ; Ahmadi, Alireza ; Ahmadi, Mehdi ; Ahmadieh, Hamid ; Ahmed, Muktar Beshir ; Aichour, Amani Nidhal ; Aichour, Ibtihel ; Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine ; Akbari, Mohammad Esmaeil ; Akinyemiju, Tomi ; Akseer, Nadia ; Al-Aly, Ziyad ; Al-Eyadhy, Ayman ; Al-Mekhlafi, Hesham M. ; Alahdab, Fares ; Alam, Khurshid ; Alam, Samiah ; Alam, Tahiya ; Alashi, Alaa ; Alavian, Seyed Moayed ; Alene, Kefyalew Addis ; Ali, Komal ; Ali, Syed Mustafa ; Alijanzadeh, Mehran ; Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza ; Aljunid, Syed Mohamed ; Alkerwi, Ala'a ; Alla, François ; Alsharif, Ubai ; Altirkawi, Khalid ; Alvis-Guzman, Nelson ; Amare, Azmeraw T. ; Ammar, Walid ; Anber, Nahla Hamed ; Anderson, Jason A. ; Andrei, Catalina Liliana ; Androudi, Sofia ; Animut, Megbaru Debalkie ; Anjomshoa, Mina ; Ansha, Mustafa Geleto ; Antó, Josep M. ; Antonio, Carl Abelardo T. ; Anwari, Palwasha ; Appiah, Lambert Tetteh ; Appiah, Seth Christopher Yaw ; Arabloo, Jalal ; Aremu, Olatunde ; Ärnlöv, Johan ; Artaman, Al ; Aryal, Krishna K. ; Asayesh, Hamid ; Ataro, Zerihun ; Ausloos, Marcel ; Avokpaho, Euripide F.G.A. ; Awasthi, Ashish ; Quintanilla, Beatriz Paulina Ayala ; Ayer, Rakesh ; Ayuk, Tambe B. ; Azzopardi, Peter S. ; Babazadeh, Arefeh ; Badali, Hamid ; Badawi, Alaa ; Balakrishnan, Kalpana ; Bali, Ayele Geleto ; Ball, Kylie ; Ballew, Shoshana H. ; Banach, Maciej ; Banoub, Joseph Adel Mattar ; Barac, Aleksandra ; Barker-Collo, Suzanne Lyn ; Bärnighausen, Till Winfried ; Barrero, Lope H ; Basu, Sanjay ; Baune, Bernhard T ; Bazargan-Hejazi, Shahrzad ; Bedi, Neeraj ; Beghi, Ettore ; Behzadifar, Masoud ; Behzadifar, Meysam ; Béjot, Yannick ; Bekele, Bayu Begashaw ; Bekru, Eyasu Tamru ; Belay, Ezra ; Belay, Yihalem Abebe ; Bell, Michelle L ; Bello, Aminu K ; Bennett, Derrick A ; Bensenor, Isabela M ; Bergeron, Gilles ; Berhane, Adugnaw ; Bernabe, Eduardo ; Bernstein, Robert S ; Beuran, Mircea ; Beyranvand, Tina ; Bhala, Neeraj ; Bhalla, Ashish ; Bhattarai, Suraj ; Bhutta, Zulfiqar A ; Biadgo, Belete ; Bijani, Ali ; Bikbov, Boris ; Bilano, Ver ; Bililign, Nigus ; Sayeed, Muhammad Shahdaat Bin ; Bisanzio, Donal ; Biswas, Tuhin ; Bjorge, Tone ; Blacker, Brigette F ; Bleyer, Archie ; Borschmann, Rohan ; Bou-Orm, Ibrahim R ; Boufous, Soufiane ; Bourne, Rupert ; Brady, Oliver J ; Brauer, Michael ; Brazinova, Alexandra ; Breitborde, Nicholas J K ; Brenner, Hermann ; Briko, Andrey Nikolaevich ; Britton, Gabrielle ; Brugha, Traolach ; Buchbinder, Rachelle ; Burnett, Richard T ; Busse, Reinhard ; Butt, Zahid A ; Cahill, Leah E ; Cahuana-Hurtado, Lucero ; Campos-Nonato, Ismael R ; Cárdenas, Rosario ; Carreras, Giulia ; Carrero, Juan J ; Carvalho, Félix ; Castaneda-Orjuela, Carlos A ; Rivas, Jacqueline Castillo ; Castro, Franz ; Catalá-López, Ferrán ; Causey, Kate ; Cercy, Kelly M ; Cerin, Ester ; Chaiah, Yazan ; Chang, Hsing-Yi ; Chang, Jung-Chen ; Chang, Kai-Lan ; Charlson, Fiona J ; Chattopadhyay, Aparajita ; Chattu, Vijay Kumar ; Chee, Miao Li ; Cheng, Ching-Yu ; Chew, Adrienne ; Chiang, Peggy Pei-Chia ; Chimed-Ochir, Odgerel ; Chin, Ken Lee ; Chitheer, Abdulaal ; Choi, Jee-Young J ; Chowdhury, Rajiv ; Christensen, Hanne ; Christopher, Devasahayam J ; 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Guo, Yuming ; Gupta, Rahul ; Gupta, Rajeev ; Gupta, Tanush ; Gutiérrez, Reyna Alma ; Gutiérrez-Torres, Daniela S ; Haagsma, Juanita A ; Habtewold, Tesfa Dejenie ; Hachinski, Vladimir ; Hafezi-Nejad, Nima ; Hagos, Tekleberhan B ; Hailegiyorgis, Tewodros Tesfa ; Hailu, Gessessew Bugssa ; Haj-Mirzaian, Arvin ; Haj-Mirzaian, Arya ; Hamadeh, Randah R ; Hamidi, Samer ; Handal, Alexis J ; Hankey, Graeme J ; Hao, Yuantao ; Harb, Hilda L ; Harikrishnan, Sivadasanpillai ; Haro, Josep Maria ; Hassankhani, Hadi ; Hassen, Hamid Yimam ; Havmoeller, Rasmus ; Hawley, Caitlin N ; Hay, Simon I ; Hedayatizadeh-Omran, Akbar ; Heibati, Behzad ; Heidari, Behnam ; Heidari, Mohsen ; Hendrie, Delia ; Henok, Andualem ; Heredia-Pi, Ileana ; Herteliu, Claudiu ; Heydarpour, Fatemeh ; Heydarpour, Sousan ; Hibstu, Desalegn T ; Higazi, Tarig B ; Hilawe, Esayas Haregot ; Hoek, Hans W ; Hoffman, Howard J ; Hole, Michael K ; Rad, Enayatollah Homaie ; Hoogar, Praveen ; Hosgood, H Dean ; Hosseini, Seyed Mostafa ; Hosseinzadeh, Mehdi ; Hostiuc, Mihaela ; Hostiuc, Sorin ; Hoy, Damian G ; Hsairi, Mohamed ; Hsiao, Thomas ; Hu, Guoqing ; Hu, Howard ; Huang, John J ; Hussen, Mamusha Aman ; Huynh, Chantal K ; Iburg, Kim Moesgaard ; Ikeda, Nayu ; Ilesanmi, Olayinka Stephen ; Iqbal, Usman ; Irvani, Seyed Sina Naghibi ; Irvine, Caleb Mackay Salpeter ; Islam, Sheikh Mohammed Shariful ; Islami, Farhadl ; Jackson, Maria D ; Jacobsen, Kathryn H ; Jahangiry, Leila ; Jahanmehr, Nader ; Jain, Sudhir Kumar ; Jakovljevic, Mihajlo ; James, Spencer L ; Jassal, Simerjot K ; Jayatilleke, Achala Upendra ; Jeemon, Panniyammakal ; Jha, Ravi Prakash ; Jha, Vivekanand ; Ji, John S ; Jonas, Jost B ; Jonnagaddala, Jitendra ; Shushtari, Zahra Jorjoran ; Joshi, Ankur ; Jozwiak, Jacek Jerzy ; Jürisson, Mikk ; Kabir, Zubair ; Kahsay, Amaha ; Kalani, Rizwan ; Kanchan, Tanuj ; Kant, Surya ; Kar, Chittaranjan ; Karami, Manoochehr ; Matin, Behzad Karami ; Karch, André ; Karema, Corine ; Karimi, Narges ; Karimi, Seyed M ; Kasaeian, Amir ; Kassa, Dessalegn H ; Kassa, Getachew Mullu ; Kassa, Tesfaye Dessale ; Kassebaum, Nicholas J ; Katikireddi, Srinivasa Vittal ; Kaul, Anil ; Kawakami, Norito ; Kazemi, Zhila ; Karyani, Ali Kazemi ; Kefale, Adane Teshome ; Keiyoro, Peter Njenga ; Kemp, Grant Rodgers ; Kengne, Andre Pascal ; Keren, Andre ; Kesavachandran, Chandrasekharan Nair ; Khader, Yousef Saleh ; Khafaei, Behzad ; Khafaie, Morteza Abdullatif ; Khajavi, Alireza ; Khalid, Nauman ; Khalil, Ibrahim A ; Khan, Gulfaraz ; Khan, Muhammad Shahzeb ; Khan, Muhammad Ali ; Khang, Young-Ho ; Khater, Mona M ; Khazaei, Mohammad ; Khazaie, Habibolah ; Khoja, Abdullah T ; Khosravi, Ardeshir ; Khosravi, Mohammad Hossein ; Kiadaliri, Aliasghar A ; Kiirithio, Daniel N ; Kim, Cho-Il ; Kim, Daniel ; Kim, Young-Eun ; Kim, Yun Jin ; Kimokoti, Ruth W ; Kinfu, Yohannes ; Kisa, Adnan ; Kissimova-Skarbek, Katarzyna ; Kivimäki, Mika ; Knibbs, Luke D ; Knudsen, Ann Kristin Skrindo ; Kochhar, Sonali ; Kokubo, Yoshihiro ; Kolola, Tufa ; Kopec, Jacek A ; Kosen, Soewarta ; Koul, Parvaiz A ; Koyanagi, Ai ; Kravchenko, Michael A ; Krishan, Kewal ; Krohn, Kristopher J ; Kromhout, Hans ; Defo, Barthelemy Kuate ; Bicer, Burcu Kucuk ; Kumar, G Anil ; Kumar, Manasi ; Kuzin, Igor ; Kyu, Hmwe Hmwe ; Lachat, Carl ; Lad, Deepesh P ; Lad, Sheetal D ; Lafranconi, Alessandra ; Lalloo, Ratilal ; Lallukka, Tea ; Lami, Faris Hasan ; Lang, Justin J ; Lansingh, Van C ; Larson, Samantha Leigh ; Latifi, Arman ; Lazarus, Jeffrey V ; Lee, Paul H ; Leigh, James ; Leili, Mostafa ; Leshargie, Cheru Tesema ; Leung, Janni ; Levi, Miriam ; Lewycka, Sonia ; Li, Shanshan ; Li, Yichong ; Liang, Juan ; Liang, Xiaofeng ; Liao, Yu ; Liben, Misgan Legesse ; Lim, Lee-Ling ; Linn, Shai ; Liu, Shiwei ; Lodha, Rakesh ; Logroscino, Giancarlo ; Lopez, Alan D ; Lorkowski, Stefan ; Lotufo, Paulo A ; Lozano, Rafael ; Lucas, Tim C D ; Lunevicius, Raimundas ; Ma, Stefan ; Macarayan, Erlyn Rachelle King ; Machado, Ísis Eloah ; Madotto, Fabiana ; Mai, Hue Thi ; Majdan, Marek ; Majdzadeh, Reza ; Majeed, Azeem ; Malekzadeh, Reza ; Malta, Deborah Carvalho ; Mamun, Abdullah A ; Manda, Ana-Laura ; Manguerra, Helena ; Mansournia, Mohammad Ali ; Mantovani, Lorenzo Giovanni ; Maravilla, Joemer C ; Marcenes, Wagner ; Marks, Ashley ; Martin, Randall V ; Martins, Sheila C O ; Martins-Melo, Francisco Rogerlândio ; März, Winfried ; Marzan, Melvin B ; Massenburg, Benjamin Ballard ; Mathur, Manu Raj ; Mathur, Prashant ; Matsushita, Kunihiro ; Maulik, Pallab K ; Mazidi, Mohsen ; Mcalinden, Colm ; Mcgrath, John J ; Mckee, Martin ; Mehrotra, Ravi ; Mehta, Kala M ; Mehta, Varshil ; Meier, Toni ; Mekonnen, Fantahun Ayenew ; Melaku, Yohannes A ; Melese, Addisu ; Melku, Mulugeta ; Memiah, Peter T.N. ; Memish, Ziad A ; Mendoza, Walter ; Mengistu, Desalegn Tadese ; Mensah, George A. ; Mensink, Gert B M ; Mereta, Seid Tiku ; Meretoja, Atte ; Meretoja, Tuomo J ; Mestrovic, Tomislav ; Mezgebe, Haftay Berhane ; Miazgowski, Bartosz ; Miazgowski, Tomasz ; Millear, Anoushka I ; Miller, Ted R ; Miller-Petrie, Molly Katherine ; Mini, G.K. ; Mirarefin, Mojde ; Mirica, Andreea ; Mirrakhimov, Erkin M ; Misganaw, Awoke Temesgen ; Mitiku, Habtamu ; Moazen, Babak ; Mohajer, Bahram ; Mohammad, Karzan Abdulmuhsin ; Mohammadi, Moslem ; Mohammadifard, Noushin ; Mohammadnia-Afrouzi, Mousa ; Mohammed, Shafiu ; Mohebi, Farnam ; Mokdad, Ali H ; Molokhia, Mariam ; Momeniha, Fatemeh ; Monasta, Lorenzo ; Moodley, Yoshan ; Moradi, Ghobad ; Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar ; Moradinazar, Mehdi ; Moraga, Paula ; Morawska, Lidia ; Morgado-Da-costa, Joana ; Morrison, Shane Douglas ; Moschos, Marilita M ; Mouodi, Simin ; Mousavi, Seyyed Meysam ; Mozaffarian, Dariush ; Mruts, Kalayu Brhane ; Muche, Achenef Asmamaw ; Muchie, Kindie Fentahun ; Mueller, Ulrich Otto ; Muhammed, Oumer Sada ; Mukhopadhyay, Satinath ; Muller, Kate ; Musa, Kamarul Imran ; Mustafa, Ghulam ; Nabhan, Ashraf F ; Naghavi, Mohsen ; Naheed, Aliya ; Nahvijou, Azin ; Naik, Gurudatta ; Naik, Nitish ; Najafi, Farid ; Nangia, Vinay ; Nansseu, Jobert Richie ; Nascimento, Bruno Ramos ; Neal, Bruce ; Neamati, Nahid ; Negoi, Ionut ; Negoi, Ruxandra Irina ; Neupane, Subas ; Newton, Charles Richard James ; Ngunjiri, Josephine W ; Nguyen, Anh Quynh ; Nguyen, Grant ; Nguyen, Ha Thu ; Nguyen, Huong Lan Thi ; Nguyen, Huong Thanh ; Nguyen, Minh ; Nguyen, Nam Ba ; Nichols, Emma ; Nie, Jing ; Ningrum, Dina Nur Anggraini ; Nirayo, Yirga Legesse ; Nishi, Nobuo ; Nixon, Molly R ; Nojomi, Marzieh ; Nomura, Shuhei ; Norheim, Ole F ; Noroozi, Mehdi ; Norrving, Bo ; Noubiap, Jean Jacques ; Nouri, Hamid Reza ; Shiadeh, Malihe Nourollahpour ; Nowroozi, Mohammad Reza ; Nsoesie, Elaine O ; Nyasulu, Peter S ; Obermeyer, Carla M ; Odell, Christopher M ; Ofori-Asenso, Richard ; Ogbo, Felix Akpojene ; Oh, In-Hwan ; Oladimeji, Olanrewaju ; Olagunju, Andrew T ; Olagunju, Tinuke O ; Olivares, Pedro R ; Olsen, Helen Elizabeth ; Olusanya, Bolajoko Olubukunola ; Olusanya, Jacob Olusegun ; Ong, Kanyin L ; Ong, Sok King ; Oren, Eyal ; Orpana, Heather M ; Ortiz, Alberto ; Ota, Erika ; Otstavnov, Stanislav S ; Overland, Simon ; Owolabi, Mayowa Ojo ; Mahesh, P. ; Pacella, Rosana ; Pakhare, Abhijit P ; Pakpour, Amir H ; Pana, Adrian ; Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra ; Park, Eun-Kee ; Parry, Charles D H ; Parsian, Hadi ; Patel, Shanti ; Pati, Sanghamitra ; Patil, Snehal T ; Patle, Ajay ; Patton, George C ; Paudel, Deepak ; Paulson, Katherine R ; Ballesteros, Wayra Citlali Paz ; Pearce, Neil ; Pereira, Alexandre ; Pereira, David M ; Perico, Norberto ; Pesudovs, Konrad ; Petzold, Max ; Pham, Hai Quang ; Phillips, Michael R ; Pillay, Julian David ; Piradov, Michael A ; Pirsaheb, Meghdad ; Pischon, Tobias ; Pishgar, Farhad ; Plana-Ripoll, Oleguer ; Plass, Dietrich ; Polinder, Suzanne ; Polkinghorne, Kevan R ; Postma, Maarten J ; Poulton, Richie ; Pourshams, Akram ; Poustchi, Hossein ; Prabhakaran, Dorairaj ; Prakash, Swayam ; Prasad, Narayan ; Purcell, Caroline A ; Purwar, Manorama B ; Qorbani, Mostafa ; Radfar, Amir ; Rafay, Anwar ; Rafiei, Alireza ; Rahim, Fakher ; Rahimi, Zohreh ; Rahimi-Movaghar, Afarin ; 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Sahraian, Mohammad Ali ; Sajadi, Haniye Sadat ; Salam, Nasir ; Salamati, Payman ; Saleem, Zikria ; Salimi, Yahya ; Salimzadeh, Hamideh ; Salomon, Joshua A ; Salvi, Devashri Digvijay ; Salz, Inbal ; Samy, Abdallah M ; Sanabria, Juan ; Sanchez-Nino, Maria Dolores ; Sánchez-Pimienta, Tania G ; Sanders, Taren ; Sang, Yingying ; Santomauro, Damian Francesco ; Santos, Itamar S ; Santos, Joao Vasco ; Milicevic, Milena M Santric ; Jose, Bruno Piassi Sao ; Sardana, Mayank ; Sarker, Abdur Razzaque ; Sarmiento-Suárez, Rodrigo ; Sarrafzadegan, Nizal ; Sartorius, Benn ; Sarvi, Shahabeddin ; Sathian, Brijesh ; Satpathy, Maheswar ; Sawant, Arundhati R ; Sawhney, Monika ; Saylan, Mete ; Sayyah, Mehdi ; Schaeffner, Elke ; Schmidt, Maria Ines ; Schneider, Ione J C ; Schöttker, Ben ; Schutte, Aletta Elisabeth ; Schwebel, David C ; Schwendicke, Falk ; Scott, James G ; Seedat, Soraya ; Sekerija, Mario ; Sepanlou, Sadaf G ; Serre, Marc L ; Serván-Mori, Edson ; Seyedmousavi, Seyedmojtaba ; Shabaninejad, Hosein ; 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| Zeitschrift: | The Lancet, 392 (10159), 1923 - 1994 (2018-11-10, 2018 |
| Veröffentlichung: | 2018 |
| Medientyp: | academicJournal |
| ISSN: | 0140-6736 (print) ; 1474-547X (print) |
| DOI: | 10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32225-6 |
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