Perspektive odnosa Rusije i SAD u svetlu rata u Ukrajini: „obuzdavanje 2". (Bosnian)
In: Medunarodni Problemi, Jg. 74 (2022-10-01), Heft 4, S. 505-529
Online
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Zugriff:
The outbreak of Russo-Ukrainian War has sharpened already ongoing confrontation between Russia and the United States to the level of undoubtedly new cold war, which compared to the previous one has even greater potential of escalation towards the direct military conflict between the two powers. After the Biden administration's failure to "structure" this confrontation during the phase one of the new Ukrainian crisis in 2021, Washington replaced this approach towards Russia with a new one - "containment 2.0.", resembling the one from the Cold War. From neoclassical realist point of view, the author analyzes why the U.S. and Russia have come to this point, and are there prospects of taming their confrontation in the future. The conclusion is that responsibility for this new situation can be found on both sides (in their dominant revisionist foreign policy ideas), as well as in systemic factors' (power distribution and geopolitical posture) impacts, but also in Ukraine's role. In the longer run, the described state will continue even after the war in Ukraine is over, yet the appropriate changes in both systemic and unit level factors could tame the confrontation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Izbijanje Rusko-ukrajinskog rata zaoštrilo je već prisutnu konfrontaciju Rusije i Sjedinjenih Država do nivoa kada se bez sumnje može govoriti o novom hladnom ratu, koji u odnosu na prethodni ima još veći potencijal eskalacije ka direktnom oružanom sukobu dveju sila. Nakon neuspeha Bajdenove administracije da „strukturira" pomenutu konfrontaciju u prvoj fazi nove ukrajinske krize 2021, Vašington je prešao na novi pristup u odnosima s Rusijom - „obuzdavanje 2", po ugledu na hladnoratovsko. Polazeći od neoklasičnog realizma, autor analizira zašto su SAD i Rusija došle do ove tačke i ima li izgleda da se u budućnosti njihova konfrontacija ublaži. Zaključak je da se odgovornost za novonastalu situaciju može naći podjednako na obe strane (u dominantnim revizionističkim spoljnopolitičkim idejama), kao i u delovanju sistemskih činilaca (raspodeli moći i geopolitičkom rasporedu), ali i ulozi Ukrajine. U perspektivi, opisano stanje produžiće se i nakon okončanja rata u Ukrajini, ali bi odgovarajuće izmene kako sistemskih, tako i unutrašnjih činilaca, mogle da ublaže konfrontaciju. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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Titel: |
Perspektive odnosa Rusije i SAD u svetlu rata u Ukrajini: „obuzdavanje 2". (Bosnian)
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Autor/in / Beteiligte Person: | TRAPARA, Vladimir |
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Zeitschrift: | Medunarodni Problemi, Jg. 74 (2022-10-01), Heft 4, S. 505-529 |
Veröffentlichung: | 2022 |
Medientyp: | academicJournal |
ISSN: | 0025-8555 (print) |
DOI: | 10.2298/MEDJP2204505T |
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