Bayesian Network Analysis for Shoreline Dynamics, Coastal Water Quality, and Their Related Risks in the Venice Littoral Zone, Italy.
In: Journal of Marine Science & Engineering, Jg. 12 (2024), Heft 1, S. 139-158
Online
academicJournal
Zugriff:
The coastal environment is vulnerable to natural hazards and human-induced stressors. The assessment and management of coastal risks have become a challenging task, due to many environmental and socio-economic risk factors together with the complex interactions that might arise through natural and human-induced pressures. This work evaluates the combined effect of climate-related stressors on low-lying coastal areas by applying a multi-risk scenario analysis through a Bayesian Network (BN) approach for the Venice coast. Based on the available open-source and remote sensing data for detecting shoreline changes, the developed BN model was trained and validated with oceanographic variables for the 2015–2019 timeframe, allowing us to understand the dynamics of local-scale shoreline erosion and related water quality parameters. Three "what-if" scenarios were carried out to analyze the relationships between oceanographic boundary conditions, shoreline evolution, and water quality parameters. The results demonstrate that changes in sea surface height and significant wave height may significantly increase the probability of high-erosion and high-accretion states. Moreover, by altering the wave direction, the water quality variables show significant changes in the higher-risk class. The outcome of this study allowed us to identify current and future coastal risk scenarios, supporting local authorities in developing adaptation plans. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Copyright of Journal of Marine Science & Engineering is the property of MDPI and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
Titel: |
Bayesian Network Analysis for Shoreline Dynamics, Coastal Water Quality, and Their Related Risks in the Venice Littoral Zone, Italy.
|
---|---|
Autor/in / Beteiligte Person: | Pham, Hung Vuong ; Dal Barco, Maria Katherina ; Pourmohammad Shahvar, Mohsen ; Furlan, Elisa ; Critto, Andrea ; Torresan, Silvia |
Link: | |
Zeitschrift: | Journal of Marine Science & Engineering, Jg. 12 (2024), Heft 1, S. 139-158 |
Veröffentlichung: | 2024 |
Medientyp: | academicJournal |
ISSN: | 2077-1312 (print) |
DOI: | 10.3390/jmse12010139 |
Schlagwort: |
|
Sonstiges: |
|