Measurement of kidney function in Malawi, South Africa, and Uganda: a multicentre cohort study.

Background: The burden of kidney disease in many African countries is unknown. Equations used to estimate kidney function from serum creatinine have limited regional validation. We sought to determine the most accurate way to measure kidney function and thus estimate the prevalence of impaired kidney function in African populations.

Methods: We measured serum creatinine, cystatin C, and glomerular filtration rate (GFR) using the slope-intercept method for iohexol plasma clearance (mGFR) in population cohorts from Malawi, Uganda, and South Africa. We compared performance of creatinine and cystatin C-based estimating equations to mGFR, modelled and validated a new creatinine-based equation, and developed a multiple imputation model trained on the mGFR sample using age, sex, and creatinine as the variables to predict the population prevalence of impaired kidney function in west, east, and southern Africa.

Findings: Of 3025 people who underwent measured GFR testing (Malawi n=1020, South Africa n=986, and Uganda n=1019), we analysed data for 2578 participants who had complete data and adequate quality measurements. Among 2578 included participants, creatinine-based equations overestimated kidney function compared with mGFR, worsened by use of ethnicity coefficients. The greatest bias occurred at low kidney function, such that the proportion with GFR of less than 60 mL/min per 1·73 m 2 either directly measured or estimated by cystatin C was more than double that estimated from creatinine. A new creatinine-based equation did not outperform existing equations, and no equation, including the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) 2021 race-neutral equation, estimated GFR within plus or minus 30% of mGFR for 75% or more of the participants. Using a model to impute kidney function based on mGFR, the estimated prevalence of impaired kidney function was more than two-times higher than creatinine-based estimates in populations across six countries in Africa.

Interpretation: Estimating GFR using serum creatinine substantially underestimates the individual and population-level burden of impaired kidney function in Africa with implications for understanding disease progression and complications, clinical care, and service provision. Scalable and affordable ways to accurately identify impaired kidney function in Africa are urgently needed.

Funding: The GSK Africa Non-Communicable Disease Open Lab.

Translations: For the Luganda, Chichewa and Xitsonga translations of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Competing Interests: Declaration of interests The Ugandan and Malawian study was funded by a project grant from the GSK Africa Non-Communicable Disease Open Lab (project number 8111). CHH received funding from Medical Research Council (MRC) Grant Reference MR/R010161/1. The South African study was jointly funded by the South African MRC, MRC UK (via the Newton Fund), and GSK Africa Non-Communicable Disease Open Lab (via a supporting grant; project number 074). Additional sources of funding for the South African project were obtained from the International Society for Nephrology Clinical Research Program 15–2-015 (Validation of eGFR equations in South Africans; South Africa); the National Health Laboratory Services; and Faculty of Health Sciences Research Incentive Grant (number 0012838434203512110500000000000000004550), University of the Witwatersrand. Funding supported implementation, execution, and completion of the study in Malawi, South Africa, and Uganda.

(Copyright © 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)